Seasonal Temperature Probabilistic Forecast
IGAD Region
Seasonal Temperature Probabilistic Forecast
Season: December 2025 - February 2026
Initiated: November 2025
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90
%
Below Normal Forecast
40
50
60
70
80
90
%
Normal Monthly Forecast
40
50
60
70
80
90
%
Above Normal Forecast

Below Normal

Temperatures are expected to fall below the long-term historical average for the forecast period. This indicates cooler than usual conditions compared to what is typically observed during this time of year.

Normal

Temperatures are expected to be near the long-term historical average for the forecast period. This indicates conditions consistent with typical patterns observed during this time of year.

Above Normal

Temperatures are expected to exceed the long-term historical average for the forecast period. This indicates warmer than usual conditions compared to what is typically observed during this time of year.

Disclaimer: The information shown on this map does not imply official recognition or endorsement of any physical and political boundaries
Source: ICPAC